I tend to abhor end of the year lists, but as the editor of a newsletter, I'm pretty much obligated to do it. It reminds of the old Seinfeld joke about his parents moving to Florida:

My parents didn't want to move to Florida, but they turned sixty and that's the law.

So like Seinfeld's parents, it's end the year and I run a newsletter, and it's the law, or at least it's expected. For this week, I thought I would start by looking back at my 2010 predictions to see how well I did. Next week, for our last newsletter of the year--we aren't publishing the week between Christmas and New Year's--I'll outline my earth-shattering predictions for 2011.

You'll find for the most part, what I predicted was expected. I didn't see tablets coming, but who did? Well, somebody might have, but it wasn't me. Let's review my predictions one by one and see how well I did.

CMIS passes and gets implemented

As I wrote last year, I wasn't going out on limb too much with this one. The standard was already well on its way through the OASIS review process when I wrote last year's column, but I was right on this one as it did pass easily and it we have begun to see applications built on top of it, maybe not as many as I thought, but a good start.

Mobile content access explodes

This was another one that didn't exactly require clairvoyant powers. Mobile continued to explode as we saw more content management applications handle mobile content and more provide access to the CMS from popular mobile devices.

Google Wave takes shape

Ouch. Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) Wave actually never took shape. In fact Google ended support and it was picked up by Apache earlier this month. It will live on as a development environment under Apache, but it will never be the tool I predicted it to be last year.

SharePoint 2010 Online pushes cloud computing forward

SharePoint had a huge amount of influence, but pushing the cloud really wasn't part of that. It was more about the mere presence of SharePoint 2010 and the influence that was having on ECM in general. Witness the explosion of case management as a case in point. This was a direct reaction to SharePoint, forcing ECM vendors to find more concrete use cases for content management.

Open source gains ground

Again, not exactly an earth-shattering prediction, but I think we have seen open source get more and more mainstreamed to the point that the license you get isn't as important as the tool set the vendor brings to the table.

Enterprise 2.0 matures

This is a mixed bag. To some extent, Enterprise 2.0 did mature as we saw larger vendors like Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) enter the market; but there still seemed to be a huge disconnect in understanding the purpose of these tools among many enterprise users. Vendors still have a long way to go, it seems, to sell IT departments on their value proposition.

So there you have it. I didn't do too badly. I only had one total miss, but in the end, if you follow an industry as closely as I do, making this list isn't an exercise in finding what others might have missed so much as see the big patterns and reporting them to you.

Look for my 2011 predictions in next week's column. I know you can't wait. - Ron